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As foundation models commoditize, Global Millennial Capital's Andreea Danila argues the durable economics of AI now sit in enterprise infrastructure, not raw model capability. Here's what that means for investors positioning ahead of the next wave of IPOs.
For two years, the AI industry has run on a single competitive question: who builds the most capable model? That race produced genuine scientific progress. But according to Andreea Danila, Head of Investment & Research at Global Millennial Capital, the question that will determine returns going forward is different, and less glamorous.
Her thesis, laid out in a new research note, is straightforward. As foundation models become commoditized and increasingly accessible, the next layer of economic value will not come from intelligence itself. It will come from the infrastructure that connects that intelligence to actual business execution.
This is a meaningful reframing for anyone allocating capital in the space. Model performance has been the dominant narrative, and the valuation driver, since the current AI cycle began. Danila's argument suggests that narrative is starting to decouple from where durable competitive advantage actually accumulates.
Danila's core observation is that organizations sit on enormous stores of knowledge but very little organizational intelligence. Information is scattered across documents, emails, databases and disconnected enterprise applications. The result: slow, poorly-informed decision-making, even at companies with sophisticated data infrastructure.
Large language models are starting to close that gap, not by improving search, but by changing what search means. Rather than simply retrieving documents, these systems can synthesize knowledge, reason across proprietary datasets and generate context-aware recommendations. Enterprise search is evolving into enterprise intelligence. That is a different product category, with different economics.
Danila points to two companies as illustrative of the shift: Cohere, which enables organizations to reason securely over proprietary enterprise data, and Dataiku, which embeds AI directly into operational workflows. Neither company is positioned as a foundation-model challenger to OpenAI or Anthropic. Both are positioned as infrastructure, sitting between raw model capability and the messy reality of enterprise operations.
The distinction matters for how investors should think about moats in this sector. A model's capability can be replicated, licensed, or leapfrogged within a product cycle. Infrastructure that governs, secures and operationalizes that capability across an organization is stickier. It touches procurement, compliance, workflow design and change management, all of which raise switching costs considerably.
Danila frames this as a broader architectural shift: AI moving beyond standalone assistants and copilots toward becoming a foundational layer within enterprise software itself. The competitive advantage, in her words, is no longer the ability to generate information. It is the ability to operationalize it consistently across the enterprise.
That is a subtle but important pivot from the dominant investment narrative of the past two years, which rewarded raw model benchmarks almost exclusively.

Enterprise software has spent the last decade optimizing for hindsight. Dashboards and analytics tools became the default interface for running a business, built on the assumption that more information produces better decisions. AI is quietly dismantling that assumption. Information is becoming abundant and cheap. Judgment, applied consistently and at scale, is becoming the scarce resource.
That shift shows up in capital allocation patterns already. Organizations are pulling back from isolated AI pilots and demonstrations, the kind of proof-of-concept projects that generated headlines in 2023 and 2024, and investing instead in platforms that integrate knowledge, governance, security and workflow automation into daily operations. Differentiation is migrating from model benchmarks toward deployment reliability.
Danila's note carries a direct implication for how public and private markets will price AI companies going forward. As enterprise AI infrastructure companies mature and more of them pursue public listings over the coming years, investors will need to separate two distinct categories of business: those advancing model performance and those building the infrastructure required to deploy and operationalize AI at enterprise scale.
That distinction has not been consistently priced yet. Much of the current AI-related equity premium remains tied to model capability narratives, compute scaling, and headline benchmark performance. Danila's argument suggests that premium may migrate toward infrastructure providers as enterprises move past experimentation and into production deployment at scale. Watching which IPOs command durable multiples versus which see multiple compression post-listing will be a useful signal for where the market believes real competitive advantage sits.
The risk for investors is timing. Infrastructure narratives are frequently correct in direction but early in execution. Enterprise sales cycles are slow. Governance and security requirements, particularly around proprietary data, add friction that pure model providers do not face. Companies like Cohere and Dataiku are betting on category creation as much as market share, and category creation is inherently harder to underwrite than incremental capability gains.
There is also concentration risk in the thesis itself. If foundation models continue improving rapidly and cheaply, some of today's "infrastructure" layer, particularly thinner middleware, could get absorbed directly into model providers' offerings. The moat Danila describes depends on infrastructure remaining genuinely differentiated rather than becoming a feature that OpenAI, Anthropic or Google simply ships natively.
Danila's framing deserves attention because it is a testable prediction, not just a narrative. The first generation of AI taught machines to understand language. The next generation, in her view, will enable enterprises to understand themselves, and the companies that make that possible, rather than those with the largest parameter counts, may capture the more durable share of enterprise AI spending.
For investors, the near-term signal to watch is straightforward: enterprise AI infrastructure IPOs over the next 18 to 24 months. If those companies price at premiums that rival or exceed pure-play model providers, and hold those valuations post-listing, it will validate the thesis that operationalization, not raw capability, is where the AI economy's next layer of value actually resides. If they don't, the model race narrative still has room to run.
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Original Sources
The AI economy’s next layer of value | TechCrunch
↗ https://techcrunch.com/sponsor/global-millenial-capital/the-ai-economys-next-layer-of-value
About the author
Marcus began tracking AI's market implications in 2016, noticing AI-related patent filings accelerating ahead of earnings upgrades before most of the sell-side had caught on. A former fixed-income quantitative analyst, he spent two decades building models that priced risk across emerging markets before pivoting to cover the economic impact of AI full-time. His writing translates opaque technical developments into clear risk/reward terms — and he's rarely diplomatic about the gap between AI valuations and underlying fundamentals. He believes most market participants still underestimate AI's long-run deflationary effect on knowledge work.
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