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As Google prepares for its annual developer conference, the tech giant must address a growing gap in coding capabilities and reassert its leadership in artificial intelligence.
When Google kicks off its annual developer conference, I/O, tomorrow in Mountain View, California, it will do so under the shadow of significant challenges. A year ago, at I/O 2025, the company was basking in the success of Gemini 2.5 Pro, a large language model that seemed to put Google on equal footing with its competitors. However, recent developments have painted a different picture.
Google now finds itself firmly in third place in the foundation model race, lagging behind Anthropic's Claude Code and OpenAI's Codex. These systems have set new standards for coding capabilities, leaving Google struggling to keep up. The gap has become so pronounced that some DeepMind engineers are reportedly using Claude for their work, highlighting internal tensions and the urgency of addressing this issue.
Google is acutely aware of its challenges in the AI coding arena. According to reports from The Information, a new AI coding team has been formed at DeepMind, specifically tasked with improving Google's offerings. This initiative has also drawn on the talents of John Jumper, who shared a 2024 Nobel Prize in chemistry for his work on AlphaFold, alongside DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis.
Given these developments, it is likely that Google will unveil significant updates to its Antigravity agentic coding platform at I/O. However, expectations should be tempered. Despite having access to advanced models and products internally, Googlers were reportedly fighting over who could use Claude Code just last month. This suggests that any new releases may not bridge the gap entirely.

For investors, Google's performance in AI coding is a critical indicator of its broader competitiveness in the tech industry. The company's ability to innovate and stay ahead in this rapidly evolving field will have significant implications for its stock price and long-term growth prospects.
While the immediate focus may be on catching up with Anthropic and OpenAI, investors should also watch for new developments in other areas where Google excels. For instance, the company's advancements in AI for scientific research could receive less media attention but are no less important. These innovations have the potential to drive long-term value and open up new market opportunities.
I/O 2026 will be a crucial event for Google as it seeks to address its AI coding crisis and reassert its leadership in artificial intelligence. Investors should closely monitor any announcements related to Antigravity and other cutting-edge initiatives that could shape the company's future trajectory.
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What to expect from Google this week
↗ https://www.technologyreview.com/2026/05/18/1137439/what-to-expect-from-google-this-week
About the author
Marcus began tracking AI's market implications in 2016, noticing AI-related patent filings accelerating ahead of earnings upgrades before most of the sell-side had caught on. A former fixed-income quantitative analyst, he spent two decades building models that priced risk across emerging markets before pivoting to cover the economic impact of AI full-time. His writing translates opaque technical developments into clear risk/reward terms — and he's rarely diplomatic about the gap between AI valuations and underlying fundamentals. He believes most market participants still underestimate AI's long-run deflationary effect on knowledge work.
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22 May 2026
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